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Danger Zone

October 22, 20210Comments

Rivian: This IPO Won’t Deliver

We think this stock could be worth as little as $13 billion and the expectations implied in its valuation are unreasonable.
by Alex Sword
Danger Zone
October 18, 20210Comments

Don’t Buy a Fund Based on Its Cover

We’ve identified a mutual fund whose holdings fail to live up to its stated style and philosophy.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
October 18, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why This Misleading Mutual Fund is in the Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone pick this week: Don’t Buy a Fund Based on Its Cover
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
October 11, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why These Stocks with Overstated Street Earnings Are in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: 3Q21 Earnings: Where the Street is Too High & Who Should Miss.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Likely to Miss Earnings
October 8, 20210Comments

3Q21 Earnings: Where the Street is Too High & Who Should Miss

Insights on which companies are most likely to miss 3Q21 earnings based on our proprietary Core Earnings research.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone
October 4, 20210Comments

No Innovation, Just Overvaluation

With market share on the decline, possible regulatory oversight on the horizon, and significant competition, profits look highly unlikely.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
October 4, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why This Consumer Lending Fintech Is in the Danger Zone

CEO David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: No Innovation, Just Overvaluation.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
September 27, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why Allbirds’ Upcoming IPO Is in the Danger Zone

Investment Analyst Kyle Guske II sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: Allbirds Is Already Overvalued at Expected IPO Valuation.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
September 23, 20211Comments

Allbirds Is Already Overvalued at Expected IPO Valuation

We do not think investors should expect to make any money in Allbird’s stock if the rumored $2 billion valuation comes true.
by Matt Shuler, Investment Analyst II
Overstated Earnings
September 20, 20210Comments

S&P 500 Companies That Overstated EPS by 60%+ in 2Q21

See five S&P 500 companies with overstated Street Earnings and a Very Unattractive Stock Rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
September 20, 20210Comments

Podcast: Overstated Earnings Land These S&P 500 Companies in the Danger Zone

David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: S&P 500 Companies That Overstated EPS by 60%+ in 2Q21.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
September 15, 20210Comments

Position Close Update: SPS Commerce (SPSC)

While the stock remains expensive relative to its fundamentals, its position in the fast-growing ecommerce and retail data solutions markets could provide continued momentum.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
September 13, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why This Direct-To-Consumer Firm’s Direct Listing Is in the Danger Zone

David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: See Through This Optical Illusion.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
September 8, 20210Comments

Warby Parker Direct Listing: See Through This Optical Illusion

While we like Warby Parker’s business model, we find the $3 billion valuation much too high for investors to expect a profit from investing in this listing.
by Alex Sword
September 2, 20210Comments

Position Close Update: 8×8 Inc. (EGHT)

We believe this stock no longer presents the same risk/reward, despite still earning an Unattractive rating.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
August 30, 20210Comments

Podcast: Why S&P Global’s Operating Earnings Are in the Danger Zone

David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: S&P’s “Operating Earnings” Remain Overstated in 2Q21.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 26, 20210Comments

S&P’s “Operating Earnings” Remain Overstated in 2Q21

The Operating Earnings from S&P Global (SPGI) for the S&P 500 continue to overstate Core Earnings through 2Q21.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
Danger Zone Podcast
August 23, 20210Comments

Podcast: Two Successful Danger Zone Picks That Greatly Outperformed as Shorts

David Trainer sat down with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life to talk about our Danger Zone picks this week: Didi Global (DIDI), Compass Inc. (COMP) and Tesla (TSLA).
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 18, 20210Comments

Position Close Update: Didi Global (DIDI)

Didi still earns our Unattractive rating, but with such strong outperformance in such a short period of time, we’re taking gains and closing this short position.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
August 18, 20210Comments

Position Close Update: Compass Inc. (COMP)

With such strong outperformance in a short period of time, we’re taking gains and closing this short position.
by Kyle Guske II, Senior Investment Analyst, MBA
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